ADRI Seminar Series 2023 Mar 29: Second Demographic Transition in Asia: “Distinctive” or “Transitory”

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Second Demographic Transition in Asia: “Distinctive” or “Transitory”


After a brief review of the first demographic transition (FDT) and the challenges encountered following the completion of FDT with regard to zero population growth and replacement fertility, I will make a comparison between FDT and SDT (Second Demographic Transition) in terms of their connection and difference. I will then focus on a discussion on SDT in Asia based on the forum carried out in the special issue of China Population and Development Studies (SPDS), particularly as pattern of SDT in Asia emerging as distinctive or transitory, and ended with the mission for demographic research in the 21st century.

About the speaker:

Baochang Gu, Ph.D., Senior Research Associate, Center for Population and Development Policy Studies, Fudan University

He received his B.A. in philosophy in Peking University in 1968, M.L. in international problems in Peking University in 1981, and M.A. in 1984 and Ph.D. in 1986 in sociology and demography at the University of Texas at Austin, USA. Formerly he served as Professor of Demography, Center for Population and Development Studies, Renmin University of China (2003-2019), Deputy Executive Director and Director of International Cooperation at China Family Planning Association (2001-2005), as Senior Associate at the Population Council, New York (1998-2000), Senior Research Associate and Associate Director of China Population Information and Research Center (1990-1998), UNFPA Population and Development Advisor in DPRK (1988-1989), Deputy Chair of Sociology Department of Peking University (1986-1988).  

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